Professor Kimberley Marten, an expert on Eurasian politics, has recently provided commentary to major international news organizations on the escalating diplomatic crisis in Ukraine. Coverage includes The Washington Post, Foreign Affairs, Al Jazeera America, BBC World Service radio, CNN International, and more.
In a post for The Washington Post’s “The Monkey Cage” blog, Prof. Marten lays out significant differences between Ukraine’s Crimea region and Georgia’s Abkhazia region in order to speculate on the consequences for Crimea. An excerpt:
“In the long run...it is not in Moscow’s interest to be saddled with the costs of governing the complex ethnic mix of Crimea, given its significant Tatar population that is hostile to Russian control. If Kiev makes clear that it can accept a renegotiation of Crimea’s autonomous status within a sovereign Ukrainian state — and especially if Kiev maintains the 2010 bargain it reached with Moscow, allowing Russia’s Black Sea Fleet to remain at its Crimean base of Sevastopol until 2042 — hope remains that the current Crimean crisis can be solved without a Russian invasion.”
Prof. Marten, Barnard’s Ann Whitney Olin Professor of Political Science, specializes in international relations and international security. Her research focuses on warlords and militias and their relationship to sovereign states and state security institutions, in places ranging from Afghanistan and Iraq to the former Soviet Union.